Throughout March, Italy has been the epicenter of the Covid-19 pandemic in Europe. After exhibiting an explosion of new cases, the country has implemented various containment methods which are helping to curb the growth of new infections. Analysis of the data suggests that an inflection point has occurred in Italy in mid-March. On March 21, our model projected that within 10 to 15 days, the number of new daily inflections will peak. On March 28, a flattening of the number of new infections was noticeable.

 

Click on the slider to the right to watch the evolution of the epidemic in Italy.

 

 

Better news for some western European countries, such as Spain and Germany,and France, which have lagged behind the Italian trajectory. Over the first part of March, new daily infections have risen exponentially, but have reached an inflection point towards the end of March.

Daily Infections

 

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Daily Deaths

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