Daily Infections
Daily Infections

COVID-19
An analysis of a pandemic
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Towards the end of March, the USA has become the worldwide epicenter of the pandemic. While the number of daily infections has grown exponentially over the past two weeks, it appears to be slowing down in some states and cities due to social distancing, 'stay at home' orders, more testing, and other measures. Assuming the trend follows the European trajectory, the number of daily inflections will begin curving downwards within 5-10 days. A statistical analysis of number of deaths reveals a strong correlation between the number of daily deaths and number of new daily infections that occurred up to 10 days before. The figure below shows the trailing numbers for the USA s a whole, and similarly, for cities and states linked below.
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